The goal of this Fair Odds Recording methods at Winning Edge Investments is for every member to beat the price recorded in official outcomes, or at least fit them.
Below is a summary of the top 20 ways to get the best possible chances, and greatly exceed official results:
1) Use Dynamic Odds (or other odds comparison sites )
Among the more important factors – if not the significant factor – in gambling profitably is always striving to have the best price possible.
Once all the work is done and you are onto a fantastic thing, there’s no bigger’own goal’ than carrying an inferior price. It takes the identical amount of time and attempt to place the bet, nevertheless you get paid (sometimes substantially) less.
When you’re after any of our services, it is crucial that you aim to get the best deals possible. There is no point going into the 1 bookie and just carrying their price when others are paying better.
Take yourself back into the old-school gambling ring in the monitor…you wouldn’t get it done! You would always search for the best cost and zero on that bookie.
Thankfully, odds comparison sites allow you to replicate that when betting online. Rather than having to make your way around all the different bookies’ websites or programs, odds comparison sites allow you to just pick your race or sporting event and see multiple bookies’ prices side-by-side.
There is a few odds comparison choices out there. In our view, the best one available is Dynamic Odds. Click on the link and we’ve organized an exclusive 4-week free trial for you. It is an easy-to-use and readily customisable product. It is possible to choose which bookies to show on screen, there is a mountain of options and tools, and best of all, you can sign into all your bookie accounts through the program and just bet from Dynamic Opportunities together with the click of a button. Click that price you want, put in your bet, and you’re on. It’s fast and dead-simple to use and ensures that you always get the very best price of each of the bookies.
If you aren’t using Dynamic Odds you’re costing yourself a fortune in extra profits. It disturbs us that there are still members reporting they are still not utilising this instrument. Even a small punter working fulltime will boost their profits considerably with Dynamic Odds. You can check and compare prices with all your personal bookies quickly on your own laptop or cellular phone, and even put bets through your cellphone with all your bookies employing the lively odds mobile version. This is a lot faster and more effective than gambling through every bookie app or website individually. Don’t forget our link provides you with a 4-week free trial, so in the event that you haven’t attempted it yet, get onto it today. The superior version only costs $35 a month. For the extra money you will earn by being able to easily take much better prices, that is a complete bargain. Trust us, it’s worth every cent.
2) Have many bookmaker accounts
The fundamental rule with bookmakers is simply to have access to as many as you can, as it gives you a better prospect of always having the ability to wager the best price. Take your betting bank and disperse it across as many bookmaker accounts as possible. It’s far better to have your bankroll equally split across 10bookmaker balances than all sitting one.
There’s a good deal of alternatives out there in regards to bookies. Our suggestions, as a way of importance/benefit are as follows:
Betfair, Bet365, Vicbet, TopSport, Sportsbet, Sportsbetting, NSW Tab, VIC Tab, Ubet, BlueBet,Ladbrokes, Neds, BetEasy, TopBetta, David Dwyer, Betstar, Bookmaker, Tabtouch, Greatest Bookies, Unibet, Palmerbet & Classicbet.
3) Bookies using a buffer
If you haven’t got an account with Bet365, make sure you get one instantly. Bet365 routinely offer you the best early prices on racing, and moreover provide an SP warranty. Bet365 cover best of fixed cost or SP, whichever is higher. It can be worth sometimes taking a lower fixed cost to guarantee the potential benefit of’ramble protection’. Whilst that is often a good option, best tote or Betfair SP will usually outperform SP on almost any drifter. Taking early prices with Bet365 will provide you the opportunity to exceed official outcomes, with the SP buffer accessible if the horse does drift. Bet365 are well known for banning winning punters, but with NSW and Vic now having minimum bet laws set up, Bet365 is back in the picture for everybody. Use them where their price is over or near the 3rd best fixed price in the e-mail since there’s an SP buffer (provided that you are not restricted from this merchandise ).
4) Betfair
Betfair routinely offer the best possibilities available on the market for horse racing, especially during the last 15 minutes of gambling.
Usually Betfair gets you the best odds on horses drifting in the current market, and on horses in big (double figure) costs. It is a must have.
We could write an essay on the prices on Betfair on some of our winners, but a handful of illustrations from Dean’s Tips are below. As you can see, at all spectrums of the marketplace you can get Fantastic deals on Betfair even just at Betfair SP:
??? Emmadee: Official $101, $260 Betfair SP (got out to $560 on Betfair in betting)
??? Balrov: Official $23, $60 Betfair SP (got out to $120 on Betfair in betting)
??? Time And Truth: Official $23, $80 Betfair SP (got out to $140 on Betfair in gambling )
??? Fish Bones Fry: Official $34, $60 Betfair SP (got out to $90 on Betfair in gambling )
??? Shazee Lee: Official $56, $100 Betfair SP (got out to $110 on Betfair in gambling )
5) BOB
BOB stands for Best of the Best. This is a great product that provides you with the very best of 3 totes or Leading Fluctuation (note Top Fluctuation is figured from 25 minutes before race start time – not from the opening price).
Vicbet provide BOB for all races across Australia, seven days per week. TopSport provide it for Saturday Metro meetings, as do Ladbrokes/Bookmaker/Betstar. David Dwyer offers it for many Sydney metro meetings including midweek. BOB is generally better for horses single figure chances, also BFSP (Betfair SP) better for horses in double figure odds.
6) Additional late gambling stake on big drifters
One chance to consider is raising your bet on a dramatic drifter.
The Kelly Criterion (widely regarded as the best formula to use to ascertain the optimal size of a bet), suggests that to increase long-term profits and create a larger advantage, the more you should bet. So, for instance if you rate a horse a 3 chance and could get $7 in the current market, you should bet MORE than in case you could obtain $5 at the market.
This theorem is the reason why we recommend having another wager at our runners if the price drifts to about 50 percent or more over the recommended price.
Some reasons that horses ramble dramatically on Betfair comprise;
??? Broad Circle ??? High weight
??? Poor run last start or poor recent form
??? Low-rated trainer or jockey
??? First-up and not favoured
??? A sexy, heavily-backed favorite in the race
These motives have already been evaluated and considered by our specialist professional analysts – drifters should not concern you in several cases.
If you lock at an early price and then the horse drifts significantly (close to 50 percent or more), it is certainly worth checking on Betfair to get your average cost up, to transcend official outcomes. There have been lots of significant drifters which have won at odds far greater than official rates. It’s simply about accepting extra advantage when a person drifts.
7) Get on course It is becoming well reported that high fluctuation prices available on track in the racecourses are above those reported during the Official Costs (which require an absurd 6 bookmakers to all have the price for the fluctuation to be included). Heading into the monitor to bet might get you better deals than available online.
8) Other bookies not considered in opening fixed prices Many bookies like Unibet, Palmerbet, Betting.Club, Betstar, Bookmaker, Neds, Classicbet, Pointsbet & Madbookie are all not included when saying the 3rd best fixed cost. You may often get larger fixed odds employing these bookies.
9) Bookies not on Dynamic Odds
A huge percentage of members wager using Dynamic Odds, and choose the best available prices from this selection of bookies. Because of this, there are several bookies whose costs are not shown on Dynamic Odds. They’re also not regarded as official outcomes or gambling information.
But many members do gamble with those bookies, and often find they get higher prices than main bookies. The other bonus is that as such bookies are lesser known & not on Dynamic Odds, their rates are usually available a good deal more. If you happen to miss a historical price, it might be worth looking at those bookies to find out if the price might have held, as they often do hold much longer compared to the bookies on Dynamic Odds.
Options include: Betting.Club, Palmerbet, Madbookie & Pointsbet.
10) Horses drifting to greater deals than quoted before alert sent
This actually happens fairly often. From the time the alert is sent, many times a horse has drifted outside to costs greater than said, but nonetheless that stated cost is listed. For instance, there was one event where a horse was informed at $3.20 if the e-mail had been sent, but was 4.40 about a minute later.The $3.20 cost was recorded for this winner.
11) Bookies offering better deals than quoted after awake sent
There are in reality occasions where bets are sent, but there’s still 1 or 2 bookies who have not set up prices yet. Though early costs have been crunched, frequently these bookies will post their analyst’s initial prices. There was an occasion where we supported a horse from $21 into $11, and then 1 or 2 two bookies opened 15 minutes later at $21. Those costs often sit for some time as most members have already placed their bets.
12) Monitoring and betting late when marketplace percentages are lower and more in your favour As soon as we advise carrying a price with Best Tote/SP, Best Fluc, Betfair SP or BOB, that suggests we think the horse will likely drift from its present fixed price in gambling.
Bets for many horse racing solutions are shipped normally between 9am and 11am, but the market percentages are bigger at these times. Whilst we often acquire outstanding prices on horses which were mispriced and company, on most occasions natural gambling movements mean the costs drift out towards beginning time since the bookies start to compete along with the marketplace percentages reduce.
This implies often a horse drifts out, but gets backed again very late by large players. So, even though the starting price may be near or even lower than the early price, the horse continues to be much larger odds during betting.
Below are three examples which spring to mind, but these types of market movements are commonplace:
??? Delagos: totaled $11, drifted out to $31 with corporatebookies and $30 Betfair only before the start, but just paid $15 SP
??? Maccy Fields: totaled $8.50, drifted out to $14 Betfair, reunite to $8.50 SP
??? Zerprise Journey: totaled $4.20, drifted out to $6.60 in gambling on Betfair, then firmed back into $4.10 Greatest Tote/SP
13) Not gambling if a horse has become over wager Often a horse gets’over wager’ and backed down to some silly, shortprice, especially at the shorter end of the market. You can opt to not bet when the value isn’t there, or so the horse is under the rated/minimum price advised – that will save units in the long run and avoids taking’unders’. You could even set a minimum price on Betfair SP so that you don’t ever take beneath the minimum price you set / we recommend.
14) Putting back a runner Betfair if the horse has become’overbet’
Some wise members lay back runners who company dramatically. This permits them to efficiently have a’free wager’ on a runner, or also guarantee a profit no matter whether or not a horse wins or not. This grants a few members the opportunity to substantially reduce variance and wager reasonably risk free, especially when backing runners expected to business dramatically when informed by the specialist. Greyhound Genius & John’s Analytics are just two solutions at which this can be extremely effective as all stakes are counseled to be endorsed at fixed odds once the e-mail is routed, and the vast majority of bets firm on the market.
15) Metro/City v Country/Provincial
Bargains on runners for Metro/City races are substantially lessinfluenced when stakes are published than Country/Provincial races where they may be impacted. For Metro/City races (the significant raceday in every state generally on a Saturday and Wednesday), three good choices are either betting through Bet365 when you have the SP guarantee, employing a Best of the Best merchandise (highest of Greatest Tote and Top Fluc) offered by manydifferent bookies including Vicbet, or Betfair is the friend on Metro races too with amazing prices and liquidity available throughout gambling, even if just using the Betfair SP tool.
Note the standard tracks for Metro/City racing are:
??? NSW: Randwick, Rosehill, Warwick Farm and Canterbury
??? VIC: Flemington, Caulfield, Moonee Valley, Sandown Hillside and Sandown Lakeside
??? QLD: Eagle Farm and Doomben
??? SA: Morphettville and Morphettville Parks
??? WA: Ascot and Belmont
For Provincial & Country racing, choosing some of the better fixed prices available at the time stakes are sent is a fantastic strategy, however if you are able to monitor costs even just on some days such as weekends, you will find via a blend of corporate bookies, Betfair and bags you will get excellent prices above those recorded.
16) Consider the advised unit bets The advised unit stakes are an excellent guide on if to bet early or late on selections. Based on your experience with an agency, or evaluation of the prior benefits, you are able to ascertain the standard amount. For many services the’standard’ amount the expert intends to accumulate on a win wager isaround 5 components. If that is true and the service backs a horse to get 1 unit to acquire, and the horse is odds of $5, that’s about normal as a fantastic bet. If the horse is chances of 10, then we stand to amass 10u if the horse wins, and that is a high assurance bet. This horse will frequently firm in betting. If the horse is chances of 2 we stand to accumulate 2u, therefore this is reduced confidence, or possibly only a’saver’ bet. This horse will frequently drift in betting. So utilizing the amount to be accumulated, with 5u (or the average amass ) as the’barometer’, can be a fair indication of whether a horse will either firm or drift, particularly at the extreme ends of the spectrum. This can help you decide whether to back the horse early in a fixed cost, or take a late betting option like BFSP/BOB/BTSPif unable to track. An illustration was a horse called Flash Boy in Bendigo. Advised 0.5w however accessible market price was only $5. Given that’s only a 2.5u win collect, locking in a historical fixed cost was not the thing to do. Individuals who backed it with Bet365 got $9 SP, BTSP paid $10.90, BFSP $13, and final matched Betfair cost was $14.50. 1 question that is asked is when if a wager not be put if the value is now? Generally, advised bets should be placed, but the best way to describe is with extreme cases. Firstly, let’s say weadvise 1u to triumph a horse at $31 to get a 31u collect. Should you back it should you miss early rates and it firms to $10? The answer is yes, because the 1u investment nevertheless stands to collect 10u and that is still a significant collect and a big profit. The important firming indicates simply how incorrect the initial market price was, but how much you stand to accumulate suggests the horse remains a value bet. If I advise 0.1u on a horse at $31, and it companies to $10 until you have bet, well then you only stand to amass 1u in case it wins financing it at $10, well below what you would normally expect to collect to a winner with all the service, so you could give this horse a miss as long term there’s little value to be had taking unders on those runners. A better example is if a service advises 1u to triumph in a horse at $5, and it companies to $ two until you have put you bet. Again the original collect was 5u, but today with a 1u investment onto a 2u collect, this no longer could be a rewarding investment. It is an art, not a science, and ultimately your decision, however, the above can help lead you towards when to bet early or late (or maybe not at all in rarer instances).
17) One suggestion in a race v multiple bets in a race
When there is one bet in a race, then there is more likelihood of this runner firming (especially if the expected win bet accumulate is anything over 4u). Whenever there are 2 bets in a rush, it is often the case that you firms and one drifts. However when there are a number of bets in a race (3 or more), it’s quite infrequent they will all firm. Generally maybe 1 companies as well as the remainder drift, or often they will all drift. The sole exception is if we aggressively back 3 runners at big odds to conquer a short priced favourite. If the short favourite drifts, others could firm, but it might go another way. Again, the aggressiveness of this staking will guide you on whether to bet late or early. However the more horses supported, the more that locking in adjusted premature costs with no SP buffer should be avoided unless the amass is well above 5u. Whenever there are multiple runners in a race it’s frequently a good chance to track or use BOB/BFSP/BTSP.
18) Don’t worry about always getting the best possible price each time
It isn’t possible, or even required. All of our solutions are highly lucrative, with results readily achieved by following the information contained here. Constant improvement in your gambling practices will imply continuous progress on your long-term results, and that is the trick to long term success with your betting. Take a few minutes out daily (or just once every now & then) to review the flucs & closing costs available of runners we back using dynamic odds & you’ll shortly open your eyes to the potential opportunities.
19) Change your mindset: Do not suffer with FOMO (Fear Of Quitting Out)
As a rule of thumb, many punters suffer from FOMO. They take a predetermined price on most events. The market has shifted dramatically and marketplace percentages in ancient markets have continued to shift upwards to frequently 130%-135%, which is quite significant. Taking early fixed prices can be problematic also if you can find scratchings, where heavy deductions can be applied, further reducing your final dividend. A mindset change for many is essential. Realising the Betfair market near race start time gets down to around 102%, and also waiting and attempting to monitor costs and wager late will lead to better overall consequences for people willing to spend the moment.
20) Don’t be idle, and stop making excuses
Whilst we understand many members have jobs, the truth is a massive proportion of stakes are sent to weekends, or outside normal working hours. For all members, there’ll be periods in which they are not functioning, and it is at those times where members must look to exceed official results by tracking and placing bets late rather than betting using Fixed or Best Tote/BOB/BFSP type choices. Like most things in life, the more effort you put in, the better the outcome will be. Also like most things, the more you practice something, the more you become. In this day & age with smartphones, bookmaker apps & Dynamic Odds, etc, comparing costs and placing bets in the best odds has never been more simple & reachable. Invest sensibly, don’t be idle, put a little effort in, and do not miss out on the larger profits you could easily be achieving.
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